LWVMP and LWVSV

Subject: Draft Environmental Impact Report (DEIR) for the 2006 General Plan

September 27, 2006

Mike Novo
Acting Planning Director
Monterey County Planning and Building Inspection Department
168 West Alisal St., 2nd Floor
Salinas, CA 93901

Dear Mr. Novo:

The Leagues of Women Voters of the Monterey Peninsula and the Salinas Valley have reviewed the DEIR and have the following comments:

  1. Buildout. The DEIR analysis is fatally flawed because it is based on incorrect assumptions about the buildout of the 2006 General Plan. The DEIR states the 2006 General Plan is based on the 1982 General Plan (P. 4.15-8). The 1982 Plan has a buildout of 229,377 units (p. 121, 1982 General Plan).

    Yet, the buildout number used in the DEIR is 53,947 units (37,047 existing units and 16,900 new units). The 16,900 number is from the Bay Area Economic Report prepared for the Board of Supervisors on the Community General Plan Initiative. It was completed in February 2006 prior to completion of the Draft 2006 General Plan and does not reflect many of the draft policies, the land use maps, development in the Chualar Community Area (up to 10,000 units), property owner requests totaling over 4,000 acres, or the 1982 General Plan.

    The buildout number is significantly underestimated. At a minimum it should reflect the 1982 General Plan buildout number since the 2006 Plan does nothing to limit that number of units and, in fact, adds new areas for growth, deletes the maximum units per acre on thousands of acres of rural lands, Resource Conservation, Rural Grazing, Permanent Grazing and Urban Reserve lands, allows subdivisions anywhere in the unincorporated area including farmland, and adds transition areas between Rural Centers and adjacent properties.

  2. AMBAG Forecasts. In some analyses (e.g., Air Quality, Transportation and Noise) the DEIR relies on AMBAG’s population and land use forecasts to determine project impacts. AMBAG’s numbers are used based on the incorrect assumption that the forecasts reflect buildout of local general plans (P. 3-95, P. 4.15-8, and P. 6-8). Having participated in the development of AMBAG’s forecasts in previous years, we find that this assumption misrepresents the forecast methodology. AMBAG first estimates economic and population growth at the regional level – Santa Cruz, Monterey, and San Benito Counties. The regional number is then allocated to the counties factoring in land use availability, infrastructure constraints, and county demographic data. General plans are only used to distribute the population within each county. This should be self-evident since the buildout of the 1982 Monterey County General Plan alone would add over 229,000 units.

  3. Location of Development. The DEIR repeatedly states (P. 4.1-4, P. 4.6-59, P. 4.11-9, and P. 4.15-8) that the 2006 plan would concentrate development in cities or existing developed areas. Again, this does not correctly represent the plan or its policies. As noted above, development could occur throughout the unincorporated area in the following categories: rural lands with low density development, Resource Conservation, Rural Grazing and Permanent Grazing, and Urban Reserve. Further, Policies AG-1.3 and LU-2.12 would allow subdivisions anywhere in unincorporated Monterey County, including farmlands. The provisions are unlike those in GPU#3 that only allowed development on 40 acres or more of land outside Community Areas, Rural Centers and the Affordable Housing Overlay. The 2006 General Plan is markedly different from the Community General Plan Initiative that generally prohibits subdivisions outside of Community Areas or cities.

  4. Impacts Underestimated. Because of the use of incorrect buildout numbers, AMBAG’s population forecasts, and incorrect assumptions about the location of future growth, most of the impact analyses underestimate impacts. The DEIR finds the following significant and unavoidable impacts: agricultural land; conflicts with Williamson Act contracts; soil erosion; groundwater overdraft; saltwater intrusion; roadway level of service on County and regional roads; visual character; light and glare, and growth. If the analysis were done correctly, the following additional impacts would be added: air quality; noise; water demand; biological resources; population and housing; exposure of future residents to hazards such as fire; safety in terms of emergency access; biological resources, and public services. It is important to note that if correct assumptions were used to assess impacts, impacts that are identified as significant and unavoidable would be even more significant and unavoidable!

  5. Alternatives Analysis. Because the DEIR relies on incorrect buildout numbers for the 2006 General Plan and the 1982 General Plan, its analysis of impacts for each of the alternative plans is flawed. It finds, for example, that the 2006 General Plan would have fewer impacts on the environment than GPU#3 because buildout is lower than the buildout for GPU3 - 53,947 v. 57,792, respectively (P. 3-10, Table 3-5). The conclusion would be exactly opposite if correct buildout numbers were used.

  6. Cumulative Impact Analysis. The DEIR relies on AMBAG’s forecasts to address cumulative impacts. As noted above, this does not meet CEQA requirements to address the project, i.e., buildout of all local general plan. Use of forecasts significantly underestimates cumulative impacts. The DEIR identifies the following cumulative impacts: agricultural resources; water resources; transportation; aesthetics, and light and glare. If the analysis were done correctly, the following additional impacts would be added: air quality; noise; water demand; biological resources; population and housing; exposure of future residents to hazards such as fire; safety in terms of emergency access; many public services, and infrastructure.

  7. Existing Environment. The DEIR uses 2001 as the base year for describing the existing environment. Under CEQA, the existing environment is to be based on the date the Notice of Preparation (NOP) was issued. In this case, the NOP was issued on February 9, 2006.

  8. Major Change to Slope Policy. The 2006 General Plan allows cultivation on slopes over 30% with a permit. There are almost 600,000 acres of privately held land in excess of 30% slope. The impacts of this policy on erosion, visual resources and biological resources has not been addressed.

  9. Mitigation Measures. The DEIR relies on project-by-project mitigation to address many of the impacts of growth and development. This approach either underestimates impacts or fails to assess the cumulative impacts of all development on the environment, e.g., water demand, traffic, and public services. Additionally, while the DEIR claims that impacts on infrastructure are mitigated by 2006 General Plan Policies requiring that services or infrastructure are funded or planned for prior to development, the policies include loopholes that allow development to go forward without mitigation. Further, since new development cannot be required to address existing deficiencies, development would be allowed where existing infrastructure is below standards. Examples of loopholes in 2006 General Plan policies include: 

    1. Minor subdivisions in Rural Centers can be developed without adequate infrastructure (Policy LU-2.32).
    2. Development in Rural Centers can occur without addressing existing infrastructure inadequacies (Policy LU-2.31).
    3. Wells and septic systems allowed on inadequately sized parcels even in Rural Centers discourages public systems in higher density areas.
    4. Traffic congestion can increase to LOS D in all areas except Carmel Valley before mitigation is required.

Because of these major and fundamental flaws, the County should prepare a revised DEIR, and it should be re-circulated so the public and decision makers have full knowledge of the impacts of the 2006 General Plan.

Thank you for your consideration.

Sincerely,

Marilyn Maxner, President                              MaryEllen Dick, President
LWV of the Monterey Peninsula                       LWV of the Salinas Valley